SC Braga vs CD Nacional Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 14 Mar 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
SC Braga to win75%
1X2: model backs SC Braga at 75%.
- SC Braga
- Draw
- CD Nacional
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- SC Braga or draw94%
- Draw or CD Nacional25%
- SC Braga or CD Nacional82%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.557%
- Under 2.543%
Both teams to score
- SC Braga, last 10 home games3 of 10
- CD Nacional, last 10 away games3 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick SC Braga, rating it at 75.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and SC Braga won 3 of 6. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. CD Nacional's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. SC Braga's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- CD Nacional's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 153 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
SC Braga: LDWLW
CD Nacional: LLLLL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 153 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 6Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | CD Nacional vs SC Braga | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-28 | SC Braga vs CD Nacional | 0–1 |
| 2025-02-21 | SC Braga vs CD Nacional | 1–0 |
| 2024-09-20 | CD Nacional vs SC Braga | 0–3 |
| 2021-02-28 | CD Nacional vs Sporting Braga | 1–2 |
| 2020-10-17 | Sporting Braga vs CD Nacional | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win SC Braga vs CD Nacional?
- Tofiko's model favours SC Braga (75% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SC Braga vs CD Nacional kick off?
- Sun, 14 Mar 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the SC Braga vs CD Nacional head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.