C.D. Tondela crestC.D. TondelavsFC Arouca crestFC Arouca

C.D. Tondela 3-1 FC Arouca — Result, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSat, 03 Jan 2026 15:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Arouca41%

Tofiko35% / 24% / 41%
Market47% / 28% / 25%
  • C.D. Tondela
  • Draw
  • FC Arouca

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Arouca, rating it at 40.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and C.D. Tondela won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 22 Sep 2026.

C.D. Tondela: WWWLL

FC Arouca: DLDWL

Head-to-head

As of 22 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-16FC Arouca vs C.D. Tondela3–1
2026-01-03C.D. Tondela vs FC Arouca3–1
2022-03-19Desportivo de Tondela vs FC Arouca2–2
2021-10-29FC Arouca vs Desportivo de Tondela2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win C.D. Tondela vs FC Arouca?
Tofiko's model favours FC Arouca (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does C.D. Tondela vs FC Arouca kick off?
Sat, 03 Jan 2026 15:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the C.D. Tondela vs FC Arouca head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legArouca 3-1 Tondela16 May 2026 →