St Mirren F.C.vs
Dundee F.C.St Mirren F.C. vs Dundee F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scottish PremiershipSat, 24 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs St Mirren F.C.48%
- St Mirren F.C. 48%
- Draw 24%
- Dundee F.C. 29%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick St Mirren F.C., rating it at 47.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and St Mirren F.C. won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Dundee F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
St Mirren F.C.: WLWWW
Dundee F.C.: WDLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Dundee F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2026-01-31 | St Mirren F.C. vs Dundee F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Dundee F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2025-09-27 | St Mirren F.C. vs Dundee F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-05 | Dundee F.C. vs St. Mirren | 2–0 |
| 2024-12-29 | St. Mirren vs Dundee F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2024-08-31 | Dundee F.C. vs St. Mirren | 2–2 |
| 2024-05-04 | Dundee vs St. Mirren | 1–3 |
| 2024-02-07 | St. Mirren vs Dundee | 2–0 |
| 2023-11-11 | Dundee vs St. Mirren | 4–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win St Mirren F.C. vs Dundee F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours St Mirren F.C. (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does St Mirren F.C. vs Dundee F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the St Mirren F.C. vs Dundee F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.