Falkirk F.C.vs
Kilmarnock FCFalkirk F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Scottish PremiershipSat, 24 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Falkirk F.C.52%
- Falkirk F.C. 52%
- Draw 23%
- Kilmarnock FC 25%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Falkirk F.C., rating it at 52.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Falkirk F.C. won all of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Kilmarnock FC's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. Falkirk F.C.'s 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Kilmarnock FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 53 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Falkirk F.C.: LDLWD
Kilmarnock FC: LWLLD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 53 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Falkirk F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 5–1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Kilmarnock FC vs Falkirk F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Falkirk F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Falkirk F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Falkirk F.C. (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Falkirk F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Falkirk F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.