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Falkirk F.C. crestFalkirk F.C.vsKilmarnock FC crestKilmarnock FC

Falkirk F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Scottish PremiershipSat, 24 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Falkirk F.C.52%

Falkirk F.C. 52%
Draw 23%
Kilmarnock FC 25%
  • Falkirk F.C. 52%
  • Draw 23%
  • Kilmarnock FC 25%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Falkirk F.C., rating it at 52.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Falkirk F.C. won all of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Falkirk F.C.: LWDWL

Kilmarnock FC: DWWDW

Head-to-head

  • 3Games
  • 3.67Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-28Falkirk F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC5–1
2025-12-20Kilmarnock FC vs Falkirk F.C.0–1
2025-11-01Falkirk F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC3–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Falkirk F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC?
Tofiko's model favours Falkirk F.C. (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Falkirk F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC kick off?
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
What is the Falkirk F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.

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