RCD Mallorca 3-2 Athletic Bilbao — Result, H2H & Form
La LigaSat, 17 Jan 2026 15:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Athletic Bilbao42%
- RCD Mallorca 31%
- Draw 27%
- Athletic Bilbao 42%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Athletic Bilbao, rating it at 42.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and RCD Mallorca won 1 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
RCD Mallorca: WLWDW
Athletic Bilbao: WLLLL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.30Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | RCD Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao | 3–2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Athletic Bilbao vs RCD Mallorca | 2–1 |
| 2025-03-09 | Athletic Bilbao vs RCD Mallorca | 1–1 |
| 2024-10-28 | RCD Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–0 |
| 2024-02-02 | Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca | 4–0 |
| 2023-09-03 | Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–0 |
| 2023-05-01 | Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–1 |
| 2022-08-15 | Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca | 0–0 |
| 2022-02-14 | Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao | 3–2 |
| 2021-09-11 | Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win RCD Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao?
- Tofiko's model favours Athletic Bilbao (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does RCD Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao kick off?
- Sat, 17 Jan 2026 15:15 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the RCD Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 5 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.