RCD Mallorca crestRCD MallorcavsAthletic Bilbao crestAthletic Bilbao

RCD Mallorca 3-2 Athletic Bilbao — Result, H2H & Form

La LigaSat, 17 Jan 2026 15:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Athletic Bilbao42%

  • RCD Mallorca 31%
  • Draw 27%
  • Athletic Bilbao 42%
Market implied probability

The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.

Create a free account

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Athletic Bilbao, rating it at 42.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and RCD Mallorca won 1 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

RCD Mallorca: WLWDW

Athletic Bilbao: WLLLL

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 2.30Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-17RCD Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao3–2
2025-10-04Athletic Bilbao vs RCD Mallorca2–1
2025-03-09Athletic Bilbao vs RCD Mallorca1–1
2024-10-28RCD Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao0–0
2024-02-02Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca4–0
2023-09-03Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao0–0
2023-05-01Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao1–1
2022-08-15Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca0–0
2022-02-14Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao3–2
2021-09-11Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win RCD Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao?
Tofiko's model favours Athletic Bilbao (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does RCD Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao kick off?
Sat, 17 Jan 2026 15:15 GMT — La Liga.
What is the RCD Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 5 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.