Benevento crestBeneventovsHellas Verona crestHellas Verona

Benevento 0-3 Hellas Verona — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie A 2020-2021Wed, 03 Mar 2021 19:45 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Benevento38%

  • Benevento 38%
  • Draw 25%
  • Hellas Verona 36%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Benevento, rating it at 38.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Benevento won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Benevento's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Hellas Verona's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.

The model puts the draw at 25.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Benevento's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 4 Sep 2026.

Benevento: DLLWD

Hellas Verona: WDLDL

Head-to-head

As of 4 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2021-03-03Benevento vs Hellas Verona0–3
2020-11-02Hellas Verona vs Benevento3–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Benevento vs Hellas Verona?
Tofiko's model favours Benevento (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Benevento vs Hellas Verona kick off?
Wed, 03 Mar 2021 19:45 GMT — Italian Serie A 2020-2021.
What is the Benevento vs Hellas Verona head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

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