Beneventovs
NapoliBenevento 1-2 Napoli — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2020-2021Sun, 25 Oct 2020 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Napoli69%
- Benevento 12%
- Draw 19%
- Napoli 69%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Napoli, rating it at 68.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Benevento won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 68.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 19.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Benevento's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 4 Sep 2026.
Benevento: DLLWD
Napoli: LWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 4 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-02-28 | Napoli vs Benevento | 2–0 |
| 2020-10-25 | Benevento vs Napoli | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Benevento vs Napoli?
- Tofiko's model favours Napoli (69% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Benevento vs Napoli kick off?
- Sun, 25 Oct 2020 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie A 2020-2021.
- What is the Benevento vs Napoli head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.