Napolivs
BeneventoNapoli 2-0 Benevento — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2020-2021Sun, 28 Feb 2021 17:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Napoli78%
- Napoli 78%
- Draw 16%
- Benevento 6%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Napoli, rating it at 78.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Napoli won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 78.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 15.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Benevento's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 4 Sep 2026.
Napoli: LWWDW
Benevento: DLLWD
Head-to-head
As of 4 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-02-28 | Napoli vs Benevento | 2–0 |
| 2020-10-25 | Benevento vs Napoli | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Napoli vs Benevento?
- Tofiko's model favours Napoli (78% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Napoli vs Benevento kick off?
- Sun, 28 Feb 2021 17:00 GMT — Italian Serie A 2020-2021.
- What is the Napoli vs Benevento head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.