FC Bayern Munich crestFC Bayern Munichvs1. FC Heidenheim crest1. FC Heidenheim

FC Bayern Munich 3-3 1. FC Heidenheim — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 02 May 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Bayern Munich84%

  • FC Bayern Munich 84%
  • Draw 12%
  • 1. FC Heidenheim 4%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 84.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 7 times, and FC Bayern Munich won 4 of 7, with 1 drawn. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Heidenheim's last 5 produced 33 goals — 6.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. FC Bayern Munich's 5 produced 22, at 4.4 per game.

The model puts the draw at 12.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • 1. FC Heidenheim's games are very high-scoring at 6.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

FC Bayern Munich: WWWWW

1. FC Heidenheim: WLLLW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 7Games
  • 5.29Avg goals
  • 71%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-181. FC Heidenheim vs FC Bayern Munich2–4
2026-05-02FC Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Heidenheim3–3
2025-12-211. FC Heidenheim vs FC Bayern Munich0–4
2025-04-191. FC Heidenheim vs FC Bayern Munich0–4
2024-12-07FC Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Heidenheim4–2
2024-04-061. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs Bayern Munich3–2
2023-11-11Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Heidenheim 18464–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (84% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Heidenheim kick off?
Sat, 02 May 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
What is the FC Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Heidenheim head-to-head record?
In their last 7 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 5.29 goals per game.

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