FC Bayern Munich 3-3 1. FC Heidenheim — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 02 May 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Bayern Munich84%
- FC Bayern Munich 84%
- Draw 12%
- 1. FC Heidenheim 4%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 84.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 7 times, and FC Bayern Munich won 4 of 7, with 1 drawn. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Heidenheim's last 5 produced 33 goals — 6.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. FC Bayern Munich's 5 produced 22, at 4.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 12.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1. FC Heidenheim's games are very high-scoring at 6.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
FC Bayern Munich: WWWWW
1. FC Heidenheim: WLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 7Games
- 5.29Avg goals
- 71%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | 1. FC Heidenheim vs FC Bayern Munich | 2–4 |
| 2026-05-02 | FC Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Heidenheim | 3–3 |
| 2025-12-21 | 1. FC Heidenheim vs FC Bayern Munich | 0–4 |
| 2025-04-19 | 1. FC Heidenheim vs FC Bayern Munich | 0–4 |
| 2024-12-07 | FC Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Heidenheim | 4–2 |
| 2024-04-06 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs Bayern Munich | 3–2 |
| 2023-11-11 | Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 4–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (84% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Heidenheim kick off?
- Sat, 02 May 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the FC Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Heidenheim head-to-head record?
- In their last 7 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 5.29 goals per game.