1. FC Heidenheimvs
FC St. Pauli1. FC Heidenheim 2-0 FC St. Pauli — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 25 Apr 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1. FC Heidenheim43%
- 1. FC Heidenheim 43%
- Draw 27%
- FC St. Pauli 30%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick 1. FC Heidenheim, rating it at 43.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and 1. FC Heidenheim won 2 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Heidenheim's last 5 produced 33 goals — 6.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. FC St. Pauli's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1. FC Heidenheim's games are very high-scoring at 6.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
1. FC Heidenheim: WLLLW
FC St. Pauli: LLDDD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | 1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli | 2–0 |
| 2025-12-13 | FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Heidenheim | 2–1 |
| 2025-01-18 | 1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli | 0–2 |
| 2024-08-25 | FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Heidenheim | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli?
- Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Heidenheim (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli kick off?
- Sat, 25 Apr 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the 1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.