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1. FC Heidenheim crest1. FC HeidenheimvsFC St. Pauli crestFC St. Pauli

1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli Prediction, H2H & Stats

German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 25 Apr 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: 1. FC Heidenheim 20 FC St. Pauli

Tofiko prediction

Model backs 1. FC Heidenheim43%

1. FC Heidenheim 43%
Draw 27%
FC St. Pauli 30%
  • 1. FC Heidenheim 43%
  • Draw 27%
  • FC St. Pauli 30%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick 1. FC Heidenheim, rating it at 43.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and 1. FC Heidenheim won 2 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • 1. FC Heidenheim's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

1. FC Heidenheim: WLDWL

FC St. Pauli: DLWWW

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 2.25Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-251. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli2–0
2025-12-13FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Heidenheim2–1
2025-01-181. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli0–2
2024-08-25FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Heidenheim0–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win 1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli?
Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Heidenheim (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does 1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli kick off?
Sat, 25 Apr 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
What is the 1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.

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