FC St. Pauli crestFC St. Paulivs1. FC Heidenheim crest1. FC Heidenheim

FC St. Pauli 2-1 1. FC Heidenheim — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 13 Dec 2025 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC St. Pauli45%

Tofiko45% / 27% / 27%
Market52% / 26% / 22%
  • FC St. Pauli
  • Draw
  • 1. FC Heidenheim

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick FC St. Pauli, rating it at 45.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and FC St. Pauli won 2 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Heidenheim's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. FC St. Pauli's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • 1. FC Heidenheim's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026.

FC St. Pauli: DWDLL

1. FC Heidenheim: DWWWL

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.25Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-251. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli2–0
2025-12-13FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Heidenheim2–1
2025-01-181. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli0–2
2024-08-25FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Heidenheim0–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
Tofiko's model favours FC St. Pauli (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Heidenheim kick off?
Sat, 13 Dec 2025 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
What is the FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Heidenheim head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First leg1. FC Heidenheim 2-0 FC St. Pauli25 Apr 2026 →