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1. FC Heidenheim crest1. FC HeidenheimvsHamburger SV crestHamburger SV

1. FC Heidenheim vs Hamburger SV Prediction, H2H & Stats

German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 07 Feb 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: 1. FC Heidenheim 02 Hamburger SV

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Hamburger SV39%

1. FC Heidenheim 36%
Draw 25%
Hamburger SV 39%
  • 1. FC Heidenheim 36%
  • Draw 25%
  • Hamburger SV 39%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Hamburger SV, rating it at 39.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and 1. FC Heidenheim won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • 1. FC Heidenheim's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

1. FC Heidenheim: WLDWL

Hamburger SV: LWLDW

Head-to-head

  • 3Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-251. FC Heidenheim vs Hamburger SV1–3
2026-02-071. FC Heidenheim vs Hamburger SV0–2
2025-09-20Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Heidenheim2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win 1. FC Heidenheim vs Hamburger SV?
Tofiko's model favours Hamburger SV (39% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does 1. FC Heidenheim vs Hamburger SV kick off?
Sat, 07 Feb 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
What is the 1. FC Heidenheim vs Hamburger SV head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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