Hamburger SV 2-1 1. FC Heidenheim — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 20 Sep 2025 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Hamburger SV54%
Tofiko54% / 24% / 22%
Market50% / 25% / 25%
- Hamburger SV
- Draw
- 1. FC Heidenheim
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Hamburger SV, rating it at 53.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Hamburger SV won all of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Hamburger SV's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. 1. FC Heidenheim's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- Hamburger SV's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
Hamburger SV: WWWLL
1. FC Heidenheim: DWLDW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | 1. FC Heidenheim vs Hamburger SV | 1–3 |
| 2026-02-07 | 1. FC Heidenheim vs Hamburger SV | 0–2 |
| 2025-09-20 | Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Heidenheim | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
- Tofiko's model favours Hamburger SV (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Heidenheim kick off?
- Sat, 20 Sep 2025 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Heidenheim head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.