1. FC Koln crest1. FC KolnvsFC Bayern Munich crestFC Bayern Munich

1. FC Koln vs FC Bayern Munich Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSat, 20 Mar 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

FC Bayern Munich to win74%

1X2: model backs FC Bayern Munich at 74%.

Tofiko9% / 16% / 74%
  • 1. FC Koln
  • Draw
  • FC Bayern Munich

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • 1. FC Koln or draw26%
  • Draw or FC Bayern Munich91%
  • 1. FC Koln or FC Bayern Munich84%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.574%
  • Under 2.526%

Both teams to score

  • 1. FC Koln, last 10 home games10 of 10
  • FC Bayern Munich, last 10 away games8 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 74.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and 1. FC Koln won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. FC Bayern Munich's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. 1. FC Koln's 5 produced 17, at 3.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • FC Bayern Munich's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 158 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

1. FC Koln: WDLDL

FC Bayern Munich: DDWWW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 158 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.60Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-16FC Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln5–1
2026-01-141. FC Koln vs FC Bayern Munich1–3
2024-04-13Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln2–0
2023-11-241. FC Koln vs Bayern Munich0–1
2023-05-271. FC Koln vs Bayern Munich1–2
2023-01-24Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln1–1
2022-01-151. FC Koln vs Bayern Munich0–4
2021-08-22Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln3–2
2021-02-27Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln5–1
2020-10-311. FC Koln vs Bayern Munich1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win 1. FC Koln vs FC Bayern Munich?
Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (74% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does 1. FC Koln vs FC Bayern Munich kick off?
Sat, 20 Mar 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the 1. FC Koln vs FC Bayern Munich head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 3.60 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureBayern München vs 1. FC Köln20 Nov 2026 →