1. FC Kolnvs
1.FSV Mainz 051. FC Koln vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 24 Apr 2027 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1.FSV Mainz 0538%
- 1. FC Koln
- Draw
- 1.FSV Mainz 05
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- 1. FC Koln or draw62%
- Draw or 1.FSV Mainz 0569%
- 1. FC Koln or 1.FSV Mainz 0569%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.548%
- Under 2.552%
Both teams to score
- 1. FC Koln, last 10 home games10 of 10
- 1.FSV Mainz 05, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks 1.FSV Mainz 05, rating it at 37.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1. FC Koln won 4 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. 1.FSV Mainz 05's last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. 1. FC Koln's 5 produced 17, at 3.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 193 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
1. FC Koln: WDLDL
1.FSV Mainz 05: LWWLW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 193 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.60Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | 1. FC Koln vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–1 |
| 2025-08-24 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Koln | 0–1 |
| 2024-04-28 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Koln | 1–1 |
| 2023-12-10 | 1. FC Koln vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 0–0 |
| 2023-04-15 | 1. FC Koln vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–1 |
| 2022-10-21 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Koln | 5–0 |
| 2022-04-09 | 1. FC Koln vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 3–2 |
| 2021-11-21 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Koln | 1–1 |
| 2021-04-11 | 1. FC Koln vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–3 |
| 2020-12-12 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Koln | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Koln vs 1.FSV Mainz 05?
- Tofiko's model favours 1.FSV Mainz 05 (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does 1. FC Koln vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 kick off?
- Sat, 24 Apr 2027 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1. FC Koln vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.