1.FSV Mainz 05vs
1. FC Koln1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Koln Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 19 Dec 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1.FSV Mainz 0554%
- 1.FSV Mainz 05 54%
- Draw 29%
- 1. FC Koln 18%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick 1.FSV Mainz 05, rating it at 53.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1.FSV Mainz 05 won 2 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1. FC Koln's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
1.FSV Mainz 05: DWWWW
1. FC Koln: DWLLD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.60Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | 1. FC Koln vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–1 |
| 2025-08-24 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Koln | 0–1 |
| 2024-04-28 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Koln | 1–1 |
| 2023-12-10 | 1. FC Koln vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 0–0 |
| 2023-04-15 | 1. FC Koln vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–1 |
| 2022-10-21 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Koln | 5–0 |
| 2022-04-09 | 1. FC Koln vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 3–2 |
| 2021-11-21 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Koln | 1–1 |
| 2021-04-11 | 1. FC Koln vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–3 |
| 2020-12-12 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Koln | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Koln?
- Tofiko's model favours 1.FSV Mainz 05 (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Koln kick off?
- Sat, 19 Dec 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Koln head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.