TSG 1899 Hoffenheimvs
1.FSV Mainz 05TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 15 May 2027 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or draw75%
1X2: model backs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim at 47% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
- Draw
- 1.FSV Mainz 05
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or draw75%
- Draw or 1.FSV Mainz 0553%
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1.FSV Mainz 0572%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.559%
- Under 2.541%
Both teams to score
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, last 10 home games8 of 10
- 1.FSV Mainz 05, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, rating it at 47.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 213 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: LLLWL
1.FSV Mainz 05: LWWLW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 213 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.60Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–2 |
| 2025-11-21 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 1–1 |
| 2025-04-12 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 2–0 |
| 2024-04-13 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim | 4–1 |
| 2023-11-26 | Hoffenheim vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–1 |
| 2023-03-04 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim | 1–0 |
| 2022-09-10 | Hoffenheim vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 4–1 |
| 2022-02-05 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim | 2–0 |
| 2021-09-11 | Hoffenheim vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1.FSV Mainz 05?
- Tofiko's model favours TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 kick off?
- Sat, 15 May 2027 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.