1.FSV Mainz 05vs
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim1.FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaWed, 13 Jan 2027 19:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1.FSV Mainz 0543%
- 1.FSV Mainz 05 43%
- Draw 28%
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 29%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick 1.FSV Mainz 05, rating it at 43.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1.FSV Mainz 05 won 6 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. 1.FSV Mainz 05's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
1.FSV Mainz 05: DWWWW
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: WWWLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.60Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–2 |
| 2025-11-21 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 1–1 |
| 2025-04-12 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 2–0 |
| 2024-04-13 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim | 4–1 |
| 2023-11-26 | Hoffenheim vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–1 |
| 2023-03-04 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim | 1–0 |
| 2022-09-10 | Hoffenheim vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 4–1 |
| 2022-02-05 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim | 2–0 |
| 2021-09-11 | Hoffenheim vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 0–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
- Tofiko's model favours 1.FSV Mainz 05 (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim kick off?
- Wed, 13 Jan 2027 19:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.