1.FSV Mainz 05vs
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim1.FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaTue, 12 Jan 2027 19:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
1.FSV Mainz 05 or draw71%
1X2: model backs 1.FSV Mainz 05 at 43% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- 1.FSV Mainz 05
- Draw
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- 1.FSV Mainz 05 or draw71%
- Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim57%
- 1.FSV Mainz 05 or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.559%
- Under 2.541%
Both teams to score
- 1.FSV Mainz 05, last 10 home games6 of 10
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick 1.FSV Mainz 05, rating it at 43.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1.FSV Mainz 05 won 6 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 91 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
1.FSV Mainz 05: LWWLW
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: LLLWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 91 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.60Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–2 |
| 2025-11-21 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 1–1 |
| 2025-04-12 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 2–0 |
| 2024-04-13 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim | 4–1 |
| 2023-11-26 | Hoffenheim vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–1 |
| 2023-03-04 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim | 1–0 |
| 2022-09-10 | Hoffenheim vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 4–1 |
| 2022-02-05 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim | 2–0 |
| 2021-09-11 | Hoffenheim vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
- Tofiko's model favours 1.FSV Mainz 05 (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim kick off?
- Tue, 12 Jan 2027 19:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.