TSG 1899 Hoffenheim crestTSG 1899 HoffenheimvsVfB Stuttgart crestVfB Stuttgart

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSat, 12 Sep 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim40%

  • TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 40%
  • Draw 22%
  • VfB Stuttgart 39%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, rating it at 39.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 21.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 9 Sep 2026.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: LLWDL

VfB Stuttgart: WLWLW

Head-to-head

As of 9 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 3.10Avg goals
  • 80%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-02TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart3–3
2025-12-20VfB Stuttgart vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim0–0
2025-02-23TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart1–1
2024-10-06VfB Stuttgart vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim1–1
2024-03-16Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart0–3
2023-10-28VfB Stuttgart vs Hoffenheim2–3
2023-05-27VfB Stuttgart vs Hoffenheim1–1
2023-01-24Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart2–2
2022-02-25Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart2–1
2021-10-02VfB Stuttgart vs Hoffenheim3–1

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FAQ

Who will win TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart?
Tofiko's model favours TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart kick off?
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 6 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureVfB Stuttgart vs 1899 Hoffenheim6 Feb 2027 →