TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 12 Sep 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim40%
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 40%
- Draw 22%
- VfB Stuttgart 39%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, rating it at 39.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 21.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 9 Sep 2026.
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: LLWDL
VfB Stuttgart: WLWLW
Head-to-head
As of 9 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart | 3–3 |
| 2025-12-20 | VfB Stuttgart vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0–0 |
| 2025-02-23 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart | 1–1 |
| 2024-10-06 | VfB Stuttgart vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 1–1 |
| 2024-03-16 | Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart | 0–3 |
| 2023-10-28 | VfB Stuttgart vs Hoffenheim | 2–3 |
| 2023-05-27 | VfB Stuttgart vs Hoffenheim | 1–1 |
| 2023-01-24 | Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart | 2–2 |
| 2022-02-25 | Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart | 2–1 |
| 2021-10-02 | VfB Stuttgart vs Hoffenheim | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart?
- Tofiko's model favours TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart kick off?
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 6 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.