Bayer 04 Leverkusen crestBayer 04 LeverkusenvsFC Bayern Munich crestFC Bayern Munich

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern Munich Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSat, 15 May 2027 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

FC Bayern Munich to win51%

1X2: model backs FC Bayern Munich at 51%.

Tofiko25% / 24% / 51%
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  • Draw
  • FC Bayern Munich

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen or draw49%
  • Draw or FC Bayern Munich75%
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen or FC Bayern Munich76%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.573%
  • Under 2.527%

Both teams to score

  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last 10 home games4 of 10
  • FC Bayern Munich, last 10 away games8 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 50.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Bayer 04 Leverkusen won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • FC Bayern Munich's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 213 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWDW

FC Bayern Munich: DDWWW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 213 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-21Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern Munich0–2
2026-03-14Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern Munich1–1
2025-11-01FC Bayern Munich vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen3–0
2025-02-15Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern Munich0–0
2024-09-28FC Bayern Munich vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen1–1
2024-02-10Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich3–0
2023-09-15Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen2–2
2023-03-19Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich2–1
2022-09-30Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen4–0
2022-03-05Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern Munich?
Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern Munich kick off?
Sat, 15 May 2027 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern Munich head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 5 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureBayern München vs Bayer Leverkusen12 Jan 2027 →