FC Bayern Munichvs
Bayer 04 LeverkusenFC Bayern Munich vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaWed, 13 Jan 2027 19:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Bayern Munich66%
- FC Bayern Munich 66%
- Draw 21%
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 14%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 65.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Bayern Munich won 2 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 20.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Bayern Munich: LWWWD
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWWD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern Munich | 0–2 |
| 2026-03-14 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern Munich | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-01 | FC Bayern Munich vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 3–0 |
| 2025-02-15 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern Munich | 0–0 |
| 2024-09-28 | FC Bayern Munich vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1–1 |
| 2024-02-10 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich | 3–0 |
| 2023-09-15 | Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen | 2–2 |
| 2023-03-19 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich | 2–1 |
| 2022-09-30 | Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen | 4–0 |
| 2022-03-05 | Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Bayern Munich vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Bayern Munich vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen kick off?
- Wed, 13 Jan 2027 19:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the FC Bayern Munich vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 5 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.