FC Bayern Munichvs
Bayer 04 LeverkusenFC Bayern Munich vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaTue, 12 Jan 2027 19:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
FC Bayern Munich to win66%
1X2: model backs FC Bayern Munich at 66%.
- FC Bayern Munich
- Draw
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- FC Bayern Munich or draw86%
- Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen34%
- FC Bayern Munich or Bayer 04 Leverkusen79%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.575%
- Under 2.525%
Both teams to score
- FC Bayern Munich, last 10 home games7 of 10
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 65.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Bayern Munich won 2 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- FC Bayern Munich's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 91 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Bayern Munich: DDWWW
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 91 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern Munich | 0–2 |
| 2026-03-14 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern Munich | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-01 | FC Bayern Munich vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 3–0 |
| 2025-02-15 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern Munich | 0–0 |
| 2024-09-28 | FC Bayern Munich vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1–1 |
| 2024-02-10 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich | 3–0 |
| 2023-09-15 | Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen | 2–2 |
| 2023-03-19 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich | 2–1 |
| 2022-09-30 | Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen | 4–0 |
| 2022-03-05 | Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Bayern Munich vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Bayern Munich vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen kick off?
- Tue, 12 Jan 2027 19:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the FC Bayern Munich vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 5 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.