Bayer 04 Leverkusenvs
1.FSV Mainz 05Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 20 Feb 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win64%
1X2: model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 64%.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- Draw
- 1.FSV Mainz 05
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen or draw87%
- Draw or 1.FSV Mainz 0536%
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen or 1.FSV Mainz 0577%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.559%
- Under 2.541%
Both teams to score
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last 10 home games4 of 10
- 1.FSV Mainz 05, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 64.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 3 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 130 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWDW
1.FSV Mainz 05: LWWLW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 130 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 3–4 |
| 2026-02-28 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–1 |
| 2025-10-18 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 3–4 |
| 2025-05-17 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2–2 |
| 2025-01-14 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–0 |
| 2024-02-23 | Bayer Leverkusen vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–1 |
| 2023-09-30 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–3 |
| 2023-02-19 | Bayer Leverkusen vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–3 |
| 2022-08-27 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–3 |
| 2022-02-18 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen | 3–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1.FSV Mainz 05?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 kick off?
- Sat, 20 Feb 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.