1.FSV Mainz 05 crest1.FSV Mainz 05vsBayer 04 Leverkusen crestBayer 04 Leverkusen

1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSat, 10 Oct 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen47%

Tofiko30% / 23% / 47%
Market32% / 24% / 44%
  • 1.FSV Mainz 05
  • Draw
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 46.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and 1.FSV Mainz 05 won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 8 Oct 2026.

1.FSV Mainz 05: WWLWD

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWDWL

Head-to-head

As of 8 Oct 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 3.40Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-28Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1.FSV Mainz 051–1
2025-10-181.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen3–4
2025-05-171.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen2–2
2025-01-14Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1.FSV Mainz 051–0
2024-02-23Bayer Leverkusen vs 1.FSV Mainz 052–1
2023-09-301.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen0–3
2023-02-19Bayer Leverkusen vs 1.FSV Mainz 052–3
2022-08-271.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen0–3
2022-02-181.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen3–2
2021-09-25Bayer Leverkusen vs 1.FSV Mainz 051–0

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FAQ

Who will win 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen kick off?
Sat, 10 Oct 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.40 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureBayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 0520 Feb 2027 →