1.FSV Mainz 05vs
Bayer 04 Leverkusen1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 10 Oct 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen48%
- 1.FSV Mainz 05
- Draw
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 48.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1.FSV Mainz 05 won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. 1.FSV Mainz 05's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 2. Bayer 04 Leverkusen's 5 produced 17, at 3.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
1.FSV Mainz 05: WLWDW
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWDWL
Head-to-head
As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.40Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–1 |
| 2025-10-18 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 3–4 |
| 2025-05-17 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2–2 |
| 2025-01-14 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–0 |
| 2024-02-23 | Bayer Leverkusen vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–1 |
| 2023-09-30 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–3 |
| 2023-02-19 | Bayer Leverkusen vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–3 |
| 2022-08-27 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–3 |
| 2022-02-18 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen | 3–2 |
| 2021-09-25 | Bayer Leverkusen vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.40 goals per game.