1.FSV Mainz 05vs
Bayer 04 Leverkusen1.FSV Mainz 05 3-4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Result, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 10 Oct 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen46%
Tofiko31% / 23% / 46%
Market31% / 25% / 44%
- 1.FSV Mainz 05
- Draw
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 46.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1.FSV Mainz 05 won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
1.FSV Mainz 05: LWWLW
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026.
- 10Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 3–4 |
| 2026-02-28 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–1 |
| 2025-10-18 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 3–4 |
| 2025-05-17 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2–2 |
| 2025-01-14 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–0 |
| 2024-02-23 | Bayer Leverkusen vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–1 |
| 2023-09-30 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–3 |
| 2023-02-19 | Bayer Leverkusen vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–3 |
| 2022-08-27 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–3 |
| 2022-02-18 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen | 3–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.