Bayer 04 Leverkusen crestBayer 04 LeverkusenvsHamburger SV crestHamburger SV

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSat, 08 May 2027 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win68%

1X2: model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 68%.

Tofiko68% / 21% / 11%
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  • Draw
  • Hamburger SV

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

Remind me before kick-off

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen or draw89%
  • Draw or Hamburger SV32%
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Hamburger SV79%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.559%
  • Under 2.541%

Both teams to score

  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last 10 home games4 of 10
  • Hamburger SV, last 10 away games7 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 68.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • Hamburger SV's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 206 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWDW

Hamburger SV: WWWLL

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 206 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-16Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV1–1
2026-03-04Hamburger SV vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen0–1

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FAQ

Who will win Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV?
Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV kick off?
Sat, 08 May 2027 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureHamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen9 Jan 2027 →