Hamburger SVvs
Bayer 04 LeverkusenHamburger SV vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 09 Jan 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win55%
1X2: model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 55%.
- Hamburger SV
- Draw
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Hamburger SV or draw45%
- Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen80%
- Hamburger SV or Bayer 04 Leverkusen75%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.555%
- Under 2.545%
Both teams to score
- Hamburger SV, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 54.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Hamburger SV won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- Hamburger SV's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 87 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Hamburger SV: WWWLL
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 87 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV | 1–1 |
| 2026-03-04 | Hamburger SV vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Hamburger SV vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Hamburger SV vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen kick off?
- Sat, 09 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Hamburger SV vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.