RB Leipzig vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 13 Feb 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
RB Leipzig or draw71%
1X2: model backs RB Leipzig at 43% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- RB Leipzig
- Draw
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- RB Leipzig or draw71%
- Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen57%
- RB Leipzig or Bayer 04 Leverkusen72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.559%
- Under 2.541%
Both teams to score
- RB Leipzig, last 10 home games2 of 10
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 43.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and RB Leipzig won 3 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 122 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
RB Leipzig: WWLWL
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 122 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig | 2–0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig | 4–1 |
| 2025-12-20 | RB Leipzig vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1–3 |
| 2025-01-25 | RB Leipzig vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2–2 |
| 2024-08-31 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig | 2–3 |
| 2024-01-20 | RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen | 2–3 |
| 2023-08-19 | Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig | 3–2 |
| 2023-04-23 | Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig | 2–0 |
| 2022-10-29 | RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen | 2–0 |
| 2022-04-17 | Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win RB Leipzig vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
- Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does RB Leipzig vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen kick off?
- Sat, 13 Feb 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the RB Leipzig vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.