RB Leipzig crestRB LeipzigvsBayer 04 Leverkusen crestBayer 04 Leverkusen

RB Leipzig vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSat, 13 Feb 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

RB Leipzig or draw71%

1X2: model backs RB Leipzig at 43% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko43% / 28% / 29%
  • RB Leipzig
  • Draw
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • RB Leipzig or draw71%
  • Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen57%
  • RB Leipzig or Bayer 04 Leverkusen72%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.559%
  • Under 2.541%

Both teams to score

  • RB Leipzig, last 10 home games2 of 10
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last 10 away games8 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 43.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and RB Leipzig won 3 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 122 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

RB Leipzig: WWLWL

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWDW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 122 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-20Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig2–0
2026-05-02Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig4–1
2025-12-20RB Leipzig vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen1–3
2025-01-25RB Leipzig vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen2–2
2024-08-31Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig2–3
2024-01-20RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen2–3
2023-08-19Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig3–2
2023-04-23Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig2–0
2022-10-29RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen2–0
2022-04-17Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win RB Leipzig vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does RB Leipzig vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen kick off?
Sat, 13 Feb 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the RB Leipzig vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legBayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB Leipzig20 Sept 2026 →