Bayer 04 Leverkusen crestBayer 04 Leverkusenvs1. FC Union Berlin crest1. FC Union Berlin

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4-0 1. FC Union Berlin — Result, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSat, 05 Sep 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen63%

Tofiko63% / 21% / 16%
Market73% / 16% / 11%
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  • Draw
  • 1. FC Union Berlin

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 63.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 3 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Union Berlin's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Bayer 04 Leverkusen's 5 produced 17, at 3.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • 1. FC Union Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 22 Sep 2026.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWDWL

1. FC Union Berlin: LLLDW

Head-to-head

As of 22 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 2.40Avg goals
  • 20%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-05Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin4–0
2026-02-211. FC Union Berlin vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen1–0
2025-10-04Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin2–0
2025-04-12Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin0–0
2024-11-301. FC Union Berlin vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen1–2
2024-04-061. FC Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen0–1
2023-11-12Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin4–0
2023-04-291. FC Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen0–0
2022-11-06Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin5–0
2022-01-08Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin2–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin?
Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin kick off?
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.40 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureUnion Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen31 Jan 2027 →