1. FC Union Berlin vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSun, 31 Jan 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win51%
1X2: model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 51%.
- 1. FC Union Berlin
- Draw
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- 1. FC Union Berlin or draw49%
- Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen79%
- 1. FC Union Berlin or Bayer 04 Leverkusen72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.552%
- Under 2.548%
Both teams to score
- 1. FC Union Berlin, last 10 home games8 of 10
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 51.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1. FC Union Berlin won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 109 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
1. FC Union Berlin: WWLLL
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 109 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.40Avg goals
- 20%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 4–0 |
| 2026-02-21 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1–0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 2–0 |
| 2025-04-12 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 0–0 |
| 2024-11-30 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1–2 |
| 2024-04-06 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–1 |
| 2023-11-12 | Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 4–0 |
| 2023-04-29 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–0 |
| 2022-11-06 | Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 5–0 |
| 2022-01-08 | Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Union Berlin vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1. FC Union Berlin vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen kick off?
- Sun, 31 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1. FC Union Berlin vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.40 goals per game.