1. FC Union Berlin vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSun, 31 Jan 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen51%
- 1. FC Union Berlin
- Draw
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 51.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1. FC Union Berlin won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Union Berlin's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Bayer 04 Leverkusen's 5 produced 17, at 3.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- 1. FC Union Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 131 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
1. FC Union Berlin: LLLDW
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWDWL
Head-to-head
As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 131 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.40Avg goals
- 20%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 4–0 |
| 2026-02-21 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1–0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 2–0 |
| 2025-04-12 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 0–0 |
| 2024-11-30 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1–2 |
| 2024-04-06 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–1 |
| 2023-11-12 | Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 4–0 |
| 2023-04-29 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–0 |
| 2022-11-06 | Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 5–0 |
| 2022-01-08 | Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Union Berlin vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1. FC Union Berlin vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen kick off?
- Sun, 31 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1. FC Union Berlin vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.40 goals per game.