Bayer 04 Leverkusenvs
VfL WolfsburgBayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction, H2H & Stats
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 04 Apr 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 6–3 VfL Wolfsburg
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen66%
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 66%
- Draw 20%
- VfL Wolfsburg 14%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 66.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 3 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 19.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- VfL Wolfsburg's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWWD
VfL Wolfsburg: WLWWD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.30Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg | 6–3 |
| 2025-11-22 | VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1–3 |
| 2025-02-08 | VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0–0 |
| 2024-09-22 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg | 4–3 |
| 2024-03-10 | Bayer Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg | 2–0 |
| 2023-10-21 | VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen | 1–2 |
| 2023-04-16 | VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–0 |
| 2022-10-22 | Bayer Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg | 2–2 |
| 2022-03-20 | VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–2 |
| 2021-10-30 | Bayer Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg kick off?
- Sat, 04 Apr 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.