Bayer 04 Leverkusen crestBayer 04 LeverkusenvsVfL Wolfsburg crestVfL Wolfsburg

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 6-3 VfL Wolfsburg — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 04 Apr 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen66%

  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen 66%
  • Draw 20%
  • VfL Wolfsburg 14%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 66.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 3 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 19.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: LWWLW

VfL Wolfsburg: WDWDW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 3.30Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-04Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg6–3
2025-11-22VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen1–3
2025-02-08VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen0–0
2024-09-22Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg4–3
2024-03-10Bayer Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg2–0
2023-10-21VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen1–2
2023-04-16VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen0–0
2022-10-22Bayer Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg2–2
2022-03-20VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen0–2
2021-10-30Bayer Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg0–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg kick off?
Sat, 04 Apr 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
What is the Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.

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