VfL Wolfsburg crestVfL WolfsburgvsBayer 04 Leverkusen crestBayer 04 Leverkusen

VfL Wolfsburg 1-3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 22 Nov 2025 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen53%

Tofiko25% / 22% / 53%
Market29% / 25% / 45%
  • VfL Wolfsburg
  • Draw
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 53.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and VfL Wolfsburg won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. VfL Wolfsburg's last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Bayer 04 Leverkusen's 5 produced 17, at 3.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • VfL Wolfsburg's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026.

VfL Wolfsburg: WLDWD

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWDWL

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 3.30Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-04Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg6–3
2025-11-22VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen1–3
2025-02-08VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen0–0
2024-09-22Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg4–3
2024-03-10Bayer Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg2–0
2023-10-21VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen1–2
2023-04-16VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen0–0
2022-10-22Bayer Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg2–2
2022-03-20VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen0–2
2021-10-30Bayer Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg0–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen kick off?
Sat, 22 Nov 2025 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
What is the VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legBayer Leverkusen 6-3 VfL Wolfsburg4 Apr 2026 →