Borussia Dortmundvs
FC AugsburgBorussia Dortmund vs FC Augsburg Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 12 Dec 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Borussia Dortmund72%
- Borussia Dortmund 72%
- Draw 18%
- FC Augsburg 10%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 71.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Borussia Dortmund won 6 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. FC Augsburg's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Borussia Dortmund's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 18.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Augsburg's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Borussia Dortmund: WDLWW
FC Augsburg: LDLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Borussia Dortmund vs FC Augsburg | 2–0 |
| 2025-10-31 | FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–1 |
| 2025-03-08 | Borussia Dortmund vs FC Augsburg | 0–1 |
| 2024-10-26 | FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–1 |
| 2024-05-04 | Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg | 5–1 |
| 2023-12-16 | Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–1 |
| 2023-05-21 | Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–3 |
| 2023-01-22 | Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg | 4–3 |
| 2022-02-27 | Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–1 |
| 2021-10-02 | Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs FC Augsburg?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (72% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Borussia Dortmund vs FC Augsburg kick off?
- Sat, 12 Dec 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Borussia Dortmund vs FC Augsburg head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.