FC Augsburg crestFC AugsburgvsBorussia Dortmund crestBorussia Dortmund

FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSat, 17 Apr 2027 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Borussia Dortmund to win59%

1X2: model backs Borussia Dortmund at 59%.

Tofiko18% / 23% / 59%
  • FC Augsburg
  • Draw
  • Borussia Dortmund

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • FC Augsburg or draw41%
  • Draw or Borussia Dortmund82%
  • FC Augsburg or Borussia Dortmund77%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.563%
  • Under 2.537%

Both teams to score

  • FC Augsburg, last 10 home games9 of 10
  • Borussia Dortmund, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 59.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and FC Augsburg won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • FC Augsburg's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 185 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

FC Augsburg: DDLDW

Borussia Dortmund: DWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 185 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-14Borussia Dortmund vs FC Augsburg2–0
2025-10-31FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund0–1
2025-03-08Borussia Dortmund vs FC Augsburg0–1
2024-10-26FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund2–1
2024-05-04Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg5–1
2023-12-16Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund1–1
2023-05-21Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund0–3
2023-01-22Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg4–3
2022-02-27Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund1–1
2021-10-02Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund?
Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
Sat, 17 Apr 2027 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the FC Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureBorussia Dortmund vs FC Augsburg12 Dec 2026 →