Borussia Dortmundvs
1.FSV Mainz 05Borussia Dortmund vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 09 Jan 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Borussia Dortmund to win66%
1X2: model backs Borussia Dortmund at 66%.
- Borussia Dortmund
- Draw
- 1.FSV Mainz 05
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Borussia Dortmund or draw88%
- Draw or 1.FSV Mainz 0534%
- Borussia Dortmund or 1.FSV Mainz 0579%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.564%
- Under 2.536%
Both teams to score
- Borussia Dortmund, last 10 home games6 of 10
- 1.FSV Mainz 05, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 66.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Borussia Dortmund won 6 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. 1.FSV Mainz 05's last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Borussia Dortmund's 5 produced 18, at 3.6 per game.
What to keep in mind
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 87 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Borussia Dortmund: DWWWW
1.FSV Mainz 05: LWWLW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 87 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 4–0 |
| 2025-09-27 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–2 |
| 2025-03-30 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 3–1 |
| 2024-11-09 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund | 3–1 |
| 2024-05-11 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund | 3–0 |
| 2023-12-19 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–1 |
| 2023-05-27 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–2 |
| 2023-01-25 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–2 |
| 2022-03-16 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–1 |
| 2021-10-16 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs 1.FSV Mainz 05?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Borussia Dortmund vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 kick off?
- Sat, 09 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Borussia Dortmund vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.