1.FSV Mainz 05vs
Borussia Dortmund1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 08 May 2027 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Borussia Dortmund to win52%
1X2: model backs Borussia Dortmund at 52%.
- 1.FSV Mainz 05
- Draw
- Borussia Dortmund
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- 1.FSV Mainz 05 or draw48%
- Draw or Borussia Dortmund77%
- 1.FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund74%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.561%
- Under 2.539%
Both teams to score
- 1.FSV Mainz 05, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Borussia Dortmund, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 51.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1.FSV Mainz 05 won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. 1.FSV Mainz 05's last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Borussia Dortmund's 5 produced 18, at 3.6 per game.
What to keep in mind
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 207 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
1.FSV Mainz 05: LWWLW
Borussia Dortmund: DWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 207 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 4–0 |
| 2025-09-27 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–2 |
| 2025-03-30 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 3–1 |
| 2024-11-09 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund | 3–1 |
| 2024-05-11 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund | 3–0 |
| 2023-12-19 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–1 |
| 2023-05-27 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–2 |
| 2023-01-25 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–2 |
| 2022-03-16 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–1 |
| 2021-10-16 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
- Sat, 08 May 2027 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.