1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 08 May 2027 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Borussia Dortmund52%
- 1.FSV Mainz 05
- Draw
- Borussia Dortmund
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 51.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1.FSV Mainz 05 won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 24 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 227 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
1.FSV Mainz 05: WLWDW
Borussia Dortmund: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 24 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 227 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 4–0 |
| 2025-09-27 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–2 |
| 2025-03-30 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 3–1 |
| 2024-11-09 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund | 3–1 |
| 2024-05-11 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund | 3–0 |
| 2023-12-19 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–1 |
| 2023-05-27 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–2 |
| 2023-01-25 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–2 |
| 2022-03-16 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–1 |
| 2021-10-16 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
- Sat, 08 May 2027 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.