Hamburger SVvs
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 23 Jan 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Borussia Dortmund58%
- Hamburger SV 18%
- Draw 24%
- Borussia Dortmund 58%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 57.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Hamburger SV won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 144 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Hamburger SV: LWWLL
Borussia Dortmund: WLDDW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 144 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV | 2–0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV | 3–2 |
| 2025-11-08 | Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
- Sat, 23 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.