Hamburger SVvs
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 23 Jan 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Borussia Dortmund to win58%
1X2: model backs Borussia Dortmund at 58%.
- Hamburger SV
- Draw
- Borussia Dortmund
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Hamburger SV or draw42%
- Draw or Borussia Dortmund82%
- Hamburger SV or Borussia Dortmund76%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.560%
- Under 2.540%
Both teams to score
- Hamburger SV, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Borussia Dortmund, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 57.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Hamburger SV won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- Hamburger SV's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 101 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Hamburger SV: WWWLL
Borussia Dortmund: DWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 101 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV | 2–0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV | 3–2 |
| 2025-11-08 | Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
- Sat, 23 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.