Borussia Dortmundvs
RB LeipzigBorussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 24 Apr 2027 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Borussia Dortmund to win50%
1X2: model backs Borussia Dortmund at 50%.
- Borussia Dortmund
- Draw
- RB Leipzig
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Borussia Dortmund or draw76%
- Draw or RB Leipzig50%
- Borussia Dortmund or RB Leipzig74%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.565%
- Under 2.535%
Both teams to score
- Borussia Dortmund, last 10 home games6 of 10
- RB Leipzig, last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 50.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Borussia Dortmund won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 192 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Borussia Dortmund: DWWWW
RB Leipzig: WWLWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 192 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig | 1–1 |
| 2025-03-15 | RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–0 |
| 2024-11-02 | Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig | 2–1 |
| 2024-04-27 | RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund | 4–1 |
| 2023-12-09 | Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig | 2–3 |
| 2023-03-03 | Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig | 2–1 |
| 2022-09-10 | RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund | 3–0 |
| 2022-04-02 | Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig | 1–4 |
| 2021-11-06 | RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig kick off?
- Sat, 24 Apr 2027 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.