RB Leipzigvs
Borussia DortmundRB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 19 Dec 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs RB Leipzig42%
- RB Leipzig 42%
- Draw 27%
- Borussia Dortmund 31%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 41.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and RB Leipzig won 6 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
RB Leipzig: WWLLW
Borussia Dortmund: WDLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig | 1–1 |
| 2025-03-15 | RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–0 |
| 2024-11-02 | Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig | 2–1 |
| 2024-04-27 | RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund | 4–1 |
| 2023-12-09 | Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig | 2–3 |
| 2023-03-03 | Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig | 2–1 |
| 2022-09-10 | RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund | 3–0 |
| 2022-04-02 | Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig | 1–4 |
| 2021-11-06 | RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund?
- Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
- Sat, 19 Dec 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.