RB Leipzigvs
Borussia DortmundRB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 19 Dec 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
RB Leipzig or draw69%
1X2: model backs RB Leipzig at 42% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- RB Leipzig
- Draw
- Borussia Dortmund
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- RB Leipzig or draw69%
- Draw or Borussia Dortmund58%
- RB Leipzig or Borussia Dortmund73%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.564%
- Under 2.536%
Both teams to score
- RB Leipzig, last 10 home games2 of 10
- Borussia Dortmund, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 41.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and RB Leipzig won 6 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 66 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
RB Leipzig: WWLWL
Borussia Dortmund: DWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 66 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig | 1–1 |
| 2025-03-15 | RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–0 |
| 2024-11-02 | Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig | 2–1 |
| 2024-04-27 | RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund | 4–1 |
| 2023-12-09 | Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig | 2–3 |
| 2023-03-03 | Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig | 2–1 |
| 2022-09-10 | RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund | 3–0 |
| 2022-04-02 | Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig | 1–4 |
| 2021-11-06 | RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund?
- Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
- Sat, 19 Dec 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.