Borussia Dortmundvs
VfL WolfsburgBorussia Dortmund 1-0 VfL Wolfsburg — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sun, 21 Sep 2025 17:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Borussia Dortmund67%
Tofiko67% / 19% / 13%
Market68% / 18% / 14%
- Borussia Dortmund
- Draw
- VfL Wolfsburg
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 67.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Borussia Dortmund won 8 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- VfL Wolfsburg's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 24 Sep 2026.
Borussia Dortmund: WWWWW
VfL Wolfsburg: WLDWD
Head-to-head
As of 24 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 3.40Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-21 | Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-03 | Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg | 4–0 |
| 2024-12-22 | VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–3 |
| 2024-02-17 | VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–1 |
| 2023-09-23 | Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg | 1–0 |
| 2023-05-07 | Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg | 6–0 |
| 2022-11-08 | VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–0 |
| 2022-04-16 | Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg | 6–1 |
| 2021-11-27 | VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg kick off?
- Sun, 21 Sep 2025 17:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.40 goals per game.