VfL Wolfsburgvs
Borussia DortmundVfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, H2H & Stats
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 07 Feb 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Borussia Dortmund
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Borussia Dortmund55%
- VfL Wolfsburg 24%
- Draw 22%
- Borussia Dortmund 55%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 54.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and VfL Wolfsburg won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. VfL Wolfsburg's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Borussia Dortmund's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- VfL Wolfsburg's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
VfL Wolfsburg: WLWWD
Borussia Dortmund: WDLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.40Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-21 | Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-03 | Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg | 4–0 |
| 2024-12-22 | VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–3 |
| 2024-02-17 | VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–1 |
| 2023-09-23 | Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg | 1–0 |
| 2023-05-07 | Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg | 6–0 |
| 2022-11-08 | VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–0 |
| 2022-04-16 | Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg | 6–1 |
| 2021-11-27 | VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
- Sat, 07 Feb 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.40 goals per game.