1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 12 Sep 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1.FSV Mainz 0541%
- 1.FSV Mainz 05 41%
- Draw 29%
- Eintracht Frankfurt 31%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks 1.FSV Mainz 05, rating it at 40.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1.FSV Mainz 05 won 2 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 produced 32 goals — 6.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. 1.FSV Mainz 05's 5 produced 22, at 4.4 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Eintracht Frankfurt's games are very high-scoring at 6.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 11 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
1.FSV Mainz 05: DWWWD
Eintracht Frankfurt: DWLWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 11 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.30Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 2–1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 1–1 |
| 2024-12-21 | Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–3 |
| 2024-01-26 | Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 1–1 |
| 2023-05-13 | Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 3–0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 1–1 |
| 2022-05-14 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 2–2 |
| 2021-12-18 | Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
- Tofiko's model favours 1.FSV Mainz 05 (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt kick off?
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 4 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.