1.FSV Mainz 05vs
Eintracht Frankfurt1.FSV Mainz 05 1-3 Eintracht Frankfurt — Result, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 12 Sep 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1.FSV Mainz 0544%
- 1.FSV Mainz 05 44%
- Draw 23%
- Eintracht Frankfurt 32%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick 1.FSV Mainz 05, rating it at 44.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1.FSV Mainz 05 won 2 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 produced 33 goals — 6.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. 1.FSV Mainz 05's 5 produced 21, at 4.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Eintracht Frankfurt's games are very high-scoring at 6.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 14 Sep 2026.
1.FSV Mainz 05: LWDWW
Eintracht Frankfurt: WLDWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.60Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 1–3 |
| 2026-03-22 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 2–1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 1–1 |
| 2024-12-21 | Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–3 |
| 2024-01-26 | Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 1–1 |
| 2023-05-13 | Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 3–0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 1–1 |
| 2022-05-14 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
- Tofiko's model favours 1.FSV Mainz 05 (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt kick off?
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.