FC Augsburg 2-1 FC St. Pauli — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 31 Jan 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Augsburg47%
Tofiko47% / 28% / 25%
Market48% / 28% / 24%
- FC Augsburg
- Draw
- FC St. Pauli
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Augsburg, rating it at 47.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC Augsburg won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. FC Augsburg's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. FC St. Pauli's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- FC Augsburg's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
FC Augsburg: DDLDW
FC St. Pauli: WDDWD
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | FC Augsburg vs FC St. Pauli | 2–1 |
| 2025-09-14 | FC St. Pauli vs FC Augsburg | 2–1 |
| 2025-02-01 | FC St. Pauli vs FC Augsburg | 1–1 |
| 2024-09-15 | FC Augsburg vs FC St. Pauli | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Augsburg vs FC St. Pauli?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Augsburg (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Augsburg vs FC St. Pauli kick off?
- Sat, 31 Jan 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the FC Augsburg vs FC St. Pauli head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.