FC Augsburgvs
FC St. PauliFC Augsburg 2-1 FC St. Pauli — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 31 Jan 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Augsburg47%
- FC Augsburg 47%
- Draw 28%
- FC St. Pauli 25%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Augsburg, rating it at 47.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC Augsburg won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. FC Augsburg's last 5 produced 29 goals — 5.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 2. FC St. Pauli's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Augsburg's games are very high-scoring at 5.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
FC Augsburg: WWLWW
FC St. Pauli: LLDDD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | FC Augsburg vs FC St. Pauli | 2–1 |
| 2025-09-14 | FC St. Pauli vs FC Augsburg | 2–1 |
| 2025-02-01 | FC St. Pauli vs FC Augsburg | 1–1 |
| 2024-09-15 | FC Augsburg vs FC St. Pauli | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Augsburg vs FC St. Pauli?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Augsburg (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Augsburg vs FC St. Pauli kick off?
- Sat, 31 Jan 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the FC Augsburg vs FC St. Pauli head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.