FC St. Paulivs
Bayer 04 LeverkusenFC St. Pauli 1-2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 27 Sep 2025 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen56%
Tofiko20% / 24% / 56%
Market29% / 26% / 46%
- FC St. Pauli
- Draw
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 56.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC St. Pauli won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 24 Sep 2026.
FC St. Pauli: DWDLL
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWDWL
Head-to-head
As of 24 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC St. Pauli | 4–0 |
| 2025-09-27 | FC St. Pauli vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1–2 |
| 2025-04-20 | FC St. Pauli vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1–1 |
| 2024-12-07 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC St. Pauli | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC St. Pauli vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC St. Pauli vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen kick off?
- Sat, 27 Sep 2025 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the FC St. Pauli vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.