FC St. Paulivs
Borussia DortmundFC St. Pauli 3-3 Borussia Dortmund — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 23 Aug 2025 16:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Borussia Dortmund59%
Tofiko18% / 23% / 59%
Market19% / 23% / 57%
- FC St. Pauli
- Draw
- Borussia Dortmund
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 58.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC St. Pauli won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 24 Sep 2026.
FC St. Pauli: DWDLL
Borussia Dortmund: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 24 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli | 3–2 |
| 2025-08-23 | FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund | 3–3 |
| 2025-03-01 | FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–2 |
| 2024-10-18 | Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
- Sat, 23 Aug 2025 16:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.