FC St. Pauli crestFC St. PaulivsRB Leipzig crestRB Leipzig

FC St. Pauli 1-1 RB Leipzig — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2025-2026Tue, 27 Jan 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs RB Leipzig53%

Tofiko22% / 25% / 53%
Market25% / 26% / 49%
  • FC St. Pauli
  • Draw
  • RB Leipzig

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 53.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and FC St. Pauli won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026.

FC St. Pauli: DWDLL

RB Leipzig: LWLLW

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 1.75Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-09RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli2–1
2026-01-27FC St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig1–1
2025-02-09RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli2–0
2024-09-22FC St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig?
Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig kick off?
Tue, 27 Jan 2026 19:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
What is the FC St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legRB Leipzig 2-1 FC St. Pauli9 May 2026 →