FC St. Pauli 1-1 RB Leipzig — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Tue, 27 Jan 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs RB Leipzig53%
Tofiko22% / 25% / 53%
Market25% / 26% / 49%
- FC St. Pauli
- Draw
- RB Leipzig
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 53.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC St. Pauli won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026.
FC St. Pauli: DWDLL
RB Leipzig: LWLLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 1.75Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli | 2–1 |
| 2026-01-27 | FC St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig | 1–1 |
| 2025-02-09 | RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli | 2–0 |
| 2024-09-22 | FC St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig?
- Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig kick off?
- Tue, 27 Jan 2026 19:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the FC St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.