RB Leipzig crestRB LeipzigvsFC St. Pauli crestFC St. Pauli

RB Leipzig 2-1 FC St. Pauli — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 09 May 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs RB Leipzig69%

Tofiko69% / 23% / 9%
Market75% / 15% / 10%
  • RB Leipzig
  • Draw
  • FC St. Pauli

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 68.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and RB Leipzig won 2 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 22 Sep 2026.

RB Leipzig: LWLLW

FC St. Pauli: DWDLL

Head-to-head

As of 22 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 1.75Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-09RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli2–1
2026-01-27FC St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig1–1
2025-02-09RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli2–0
2024-09-22FC St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli?
Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (69% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli kick off?
Sat, 09 May 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
What is the RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legFC St. Pauli 1-1 RB Leipzig27 Jan 2026 →