FC St. Paulivs
1. FC Union BerlinFC St. Pauli 0-1 1. FC Union Berlin — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sun, 23 Nov 2025 16:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1. FC Union Berlin37%
- FC St. Pauli
- Draw
- 1. FC Union Berlin
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks 1. FC Union Berlin, rating it at 36.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC St. Pauli won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Union Berlin's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. FC St. Pauli's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- 1. FC Union Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026.
FC St. Pauli: DWDLL
1. FC Union Berlin: LLLDW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 1.75Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-23 | FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 0–1 |
| 2025-01-26 | FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 3–0 |
| 2024-08-30 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Union Berlin?
- Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Union Berlin (37% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Union Berlin kick off?
- Sun, 23 Nov 2025 16:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Union Berlin head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.