1. FC Union Berlinvs
FC St. Pauli1. FC Union Berlin 1-1 FC St. Pauli — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sun, 05 Apr 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1. FC Union Berlin51%
- 1. FC Union Berlin
- Draw
- FC St. Pauli
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick 1. FC Union Berlin, rating it at 51.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and 1. FC Union Berlin won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Union Berlin's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. FC St. Pauli's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- 1. FC Union Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026.
1. FC Union Berlin: LLLDW
FC St. Pauli: DWDLL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 1.75Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-23 | FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 0–1 |
| 2025-01-26 | FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 3–0 |
| 2024-08-30 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli?
- Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Union Berlin (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli kick off?
- Sun, 05 Apr 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.