1. FC Union Berlinvs
FC St. Pauli1. FC Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli Prediction, H2H & Stats
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sun, 05 Apr 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: 1. FC Union Berlin 1–1 FC St. Pauli
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1. FC Union Berlin51%
- 1. FC Union Berlin 51%
- Draw 27%
- FC St. Pauli 22%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick 1. FC Union Berlin, rating it at 51.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and 1. FC Union Berlin won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. FC St. Pauli's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. 1. FC Union Berlin's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC St. Pauli's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
1. FC Union Berlin: LLDLD
FC St. Pauli: DLWWW
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 1.75Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-23 | FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 0–1 |
| 2025-01-26 | FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 3–0 |
| 2024-08-30 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli?
- Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Union Berlin (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli kick off?
- Sun, 05 Apr 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.